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Aces vs. Fever predictions: Expert picks as Caitlin Clark, A'ja Wilson square off in winner-take-all Game 3

Aces vs. Fever predictions: Expert picks as Caitlin Clark, A'ja Wilson square off in winner-take-all Game 3

cbssports.com 01.10.2026 16:36 9 views
Will Wilson and the defending champion Aces move on? Or will Clark and the Fever pull off the road upset?

For the second consecutive season, the Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever will meet in a winner-take-all matchup in Sin City. Last season, the Aces outlasted the Fever in overtime in Game 5 of the WNBA semifinals to advance to the Finals. This time, it will be Game 3 of the first round, with a trip to the semis on the line.

With MVP favorite A'ja Wilson's 38 points and 16 rebounds leading the way, the Aces took care of business at home with a 102-85 victory in Game 1. But the Fever responded in Game 2 behind Caitlin Clark's 27-point, 15-assist performance. In Game 3, will the reigning-champion Aces defend their home court and keep their repeat quest alive?

Or will the Fever pull off the upset on the road to complete the comeback? I picked Indiana to win the series in three a few days ago, and after what I saw from the Fever in Game 2, I'm going to stick to that decision -- despite the Aces having home-court advantage, far more championship experience and the best player in the world, A'ja Wilson. This game will ultimately be a battle of the Big Threes.

Can Clark, Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston stand up against Wilson, Chelsea Gray and Jackie Young? In Game 2, the Aces' Big 3 combined for 63 points, while the Fever's had 75 in Indiana's 99-89 win. In Game 1, which the Aces won 102-85, the Fever trio only had 45 points, compared to 73 for Wilson, Gray and Young.

The Fever are now 3-2 on the season over the Aces, and definitely have the offensive firepower to win the series -- the Fever had the top scoring offense in the league this season with 96 points per game, while the Aces had the second-highest with 91.5. But the reason I'm still picking Indiana to advance is because they added toughness to the mix in Game 2. It is not uncommon for high-scoring, less experienced teams to get punked in the playoffs when the intensity increases a dozen notches.

That certainly happened to the Fever in Game 1. The Aces were a step ahead of them the entire game, and the physicality and speed knocked them off-kilter. But thanks to a player that coach Stephanie White didn't play at all in Game 1, the Fever were able to respond in Game 2.

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