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Brazil's big political rematch: What to know

npr.org 03.10.2026 04:57 3 views
Four years after President Lula narrowly defeated Jair Bolsonaro, Brazil is back at the ballot box. This time, Lula faces Bolsonaro's son, Flávio, in a high-stakes rematch.

RIO DE JANEIRO — Brazil's presidential election is a rematch of the country's bitter 2022 contest — but with a twist. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is facing Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of the man he narrowly defeated four years ago, Jair Bolsonaro. Flávio, a 45-year-old senator, is carrying his father's political movement into Sunday's election.

Jair Bolsonaro is now serving a 27-year sentence for plotting a coup to overturn that loss. His son has promised to pardon him if elected. The younger Bolsonaro says he is "a more moderate Bolsonaro," but has voiced few policy differences from his father.

He pledges to pardon his father over the coup conviction, has cast doubt on humans' responsibility for climate change, and supports making it easier for Brazilians to buy guns. Lula, 80, is seeking a fourth presidential term. The result will determine whether Brazil stays with Lula's left-leaning government or returns the Bolsonaro movement to the presidency.

The stakes extend well beyond the two families. The next president is expected to nominate four of 11 Supreme Court justices, giving the winner a significant influence over the court for years to come. The next president will also shape Brazil's economy and environmental policy, its relationship with the United States, and the future of its young democracy.

Here's what you need to know about Brazil's Oct. 4 election. Polls suggest a tight race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro among a field of presidential candidates. Federal and state legislative seats and state governorships are also up for grabs.

If no candidate for president or governor receives more than 50% of the valid votes Sunday, the two candidates with the most votes will continue to a runoff on Oct. 25. Brazil uses electronic voting machines and typically counts the results within hours. By Sunday night, it will likely be clear who is headed to a runoff — and how strongly each candidate performed in the first round.

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