It's time to move from the wide lens of season-long and hyper-focus on one week's worth of games. As I wrote about in Week 1 Projections Risers and Fallers, that means that some guys we drafted as QB2s are going to be starting over some guys we drafted as QB1s. It may even mean that you should look to the waiver wire for a starter, though hopefully not.
I don't want to completely recap that article here, but what you should know is that in our early Week 1 consensus rankings, Jaxson Dart, Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, and Patrick Mahomes are not top 12 quarterbacks. If you have one of them and no one else, I have some streamers below that may be better options for you. One thing I want to say about rankings, especially in Week 1, is that the gap probably isn't as big as it looks when you are just looking at a list.
For example, Dak Prescott is my projected QB4 at 21.75 points, while Matthew Stafford is my QB10 at 21.03 in the projections. I have 14 QBs projected to score at least 20 points in a standard CBS league, and none of them are projected to score more than 23. In other words, don't be afraid to trust your gut if you have two QBs with similar projections.
And maybe more importantly, check back throughout the week. These projections will change a lot before the first game on Wednesday night, and even more before the majority of games start on Sunday. While I mentioned Dart is not a top 12 QB for me, he is QB13, and he is one of the guys I am most interested to watch.
Last year, he was QB4 from Week 4 through Week 10, averaging 25.8 FPPG, then he was QB18 in the final five weeks of the season, and didn't even average 18 FPPG. The Giants changed almost everything this offseason and the offense is a bit of a mystery with Matt Nagy in charge, but Greg Roman and Brian Callahan apparently have had input as well. It's possible this approach works, but those names don't exactly inspire confidence either.
Dart has Malik Nabers back and the team added Isaiah Likely and Malachi Fields this offseason. Then there's the running, and just how much this new regime tries to pull back the reins on Dart's borderline reckless approach from last year. So yes, I will be very interested to watch the Giants offense on Sunday night against the Cowboys.
Extract — continue reading at the source.
