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Guardians vs. Rays ALCS Game 6 picks: Back at Trop, Tampa Bay poised for World Series behind Freddy Peralta

Guardians vs. Rays ALCS Game 6 picks: Back at Trop, Tampa Bay poised for World Series behind Freddy Peralta

cbssports.com 19.10.2026 15:10 4 views
The Rays look to punch their World Series ticket in Game 6 of the ALCS back home vs. the Guardians

I make fun of Tropicana Field all the time in this space and in my daily premium newsletter via SportsLine, and it's deserved, as that place is a mausoleum way past its expiration date. But at least we know there will be no weather postponement, delays or time changes tonight for Game 6 of the ALCS between the Guardians and Rays, as we saw over the weekend in Cleveland. Bet $5+ on ALCS Game 6 to get $200 in bonus bets and three free months of NBA League Pass at DraftKings Sportsbook: It's scheduled for an 8 ET start on TBS, with the National League champion Milwaukee Brewers waiting to host Game 1 of the World Series starting Friday.

At -149, Tampa Bay is getting 68% of money and 73% of tickets, but that was very early action. Over 6.5 is taking solid leans. Claim the best Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55, trade $25, and receive $55 in trading bonus credits here: The Rays were -140 on this series line entering Game 5 and Cleveland +115.

With that 3-1 win for a 3-2 series lead, Tampa Bay is now -400 and Cleveland +310. Teams trailing a seven-game series 3-2 have come back to win the series 37 of 117 times (31.6%). Both of the last two teams to trail an ALCS 3-2 after five games have come back to win the series -- the 2025 Blue Jays and 2023 Rangers.

So that's good for Cleveland. But road teams to win Game 5 of a seven-game LCS to take a 3-2 series lead have gone on to win the series seven of 10 times. The Rays are 2-5 all-time in potential clinching games of an ALCS, including 1-1 at home.

Because Friday's Game 4 was pushed to Saturday, that meant Game 5 was moved to Sunday – which was to be the final travel day in the series. So how the bullpens came out of Sunday obviously takes on much bigger significance now, and the Rays came out better because starting pitcher Drew Rasmussen went seven. Both teams might be down to rubble in terms of arms for a possible Game 7 for Tuesday, but we'll worry about that if it happens.

Fans can try MLB betting on the best sports betting apps and get bonuses. The SportsLine Projection Model also has picks on games like Rays-Guardians from its 10,000 simulations, and our experts also offer insights on games from every sport each day. DraftKings SGP price: +133 (subject to change) It surely will be all hands on deck tonight, so the starting pitchers may not matter as much as they normally might.

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