All three models expect XRP to close below $1 before the end of September, with ChatGPT and Gemini putting the odds at 75% and Claude at 65%. Their bottom calls range from $0.55 to $0.80, with ChatGPT at $0.78, Claude at $0.80 and Gemini the furthest out at $0.55. The September 15 CLARITY Act Senate vote is XRP's only remaining 2026 catalyst, and a failed vote could trigger another multi-year stretch below $1.
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So we gave ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini the current price and ETF flow data, then asked each one if the $1 support breaks and where XRP stops falling. ChatGPT and Gemini both put the odds of the XRP price closing a day below $1 before the end of September at 75%, while Claude put it at 65%. ChatGPT argued that the $1 support is an unusually crowded level, since round numbers are where most traders set their stop-loss orders.
All of those orders sell automatically the moment XRP breaks below $1, which drags the price well past the level before buyers step back in. It also pointed to the dip in XRP Ledger activity, where daily active addresses fell 23.2% in the first half of the year, from 19,927 to 15,302, even though total activated accounts passed 8 million. SoFi Active Invest is offering a limited-time promotion.
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It highlights that the XRP price is below the 50-day EMA at $1.09, the 100-day at $1.17, and the 200-day at $1.36, so sellers have control on every timeframe. The daily RSI also reads 36, and anything under 30 counts as oversold, which puts XRP close to the point where sellers usually run out. Lastly, Claude reiterates that the $1 floor had already been pierced intraday on August 11, every trend average points down, and institutional money has effectively stopped coming in.
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