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Newsom vs. Harris Chances Against Vance as Governor Defers to Former VP

Newsom vs. Harris Chances Against Vance as Governor Defers to Former VP

newsweek.com 15.09.2026 03:11 2 views
Newsom said he would not run for president in 2028 if Harris enters the race.

California Governor Gavin Newsom said he would not run for president in 2028 if former Vice President Kamala Harris enters the race, as recent polling has shown both Democrats in close hypothetical matchups against Vice President JD Vance. I wouldn’t do that to her. I wouldn’t do that to you.

I wouldn’t waste everyone’s time. Who needs that?” he said. Recent Emerson College polling found Harris leading Vance 49 percent to 45 percent and Newsom leading him 49 percent to 44 percent in hypothetical 2028 matchups.

Neither Harris nor Newsom has formally announced a 2028 presidential campaign, though both have signaled that they are considering a run. Vance has likewise not announced a campaign, but speculation about his 2028 prospects was on display at the Republican National Committee’s midterm convention in Dallas last week, where supporters chanted “48” during his keynote address. Newsom said he believed a primary fight against Harris would serve little purpose, arguing that their overlapping Democratic constituencies would make the contest unnecessarily divisive.

That's objectively true.” Newsweek reached out to Harris and Newsom for comment. Newsom has previously faced questions about why he did not seek the Democratic nomination in 2024, when President Joe Biden was seeking reelection. He said he did not believe he had a sufficiently compelling reason to run at the time.

The latest national general-election poll listed by RealClearPolling was conducted by Emerson in August. It showed Newsom with 49 percent compared with 44 percent for Vance in a hypothetical matchup. The same poll showed Harris with 49 percent and Vance with 45 percent.

Emerson’s survey was conducted August 16-17 among 1,000 likely voters. RealClearPolling also lists a September 5 Yahoo News poll in which Newsom received 49 percent compared with 41 percent for Vance. An earlier Zogby Analytics poll conducted January 1-7 among 891 likely voters found Harris ahead of Vance, 48.5 percent to 42.1 percent, with 9.4 percent saying they were not sure.

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