We weren't able to build off our strong Week 5, instead going 7-7 against the spread in Week 6. We called the Houston Texans' upset of the Jacksonville Jaguars in London and knew that the Carolina Panthers would cover against Tanner McKee, but were on the wrong side of a Washington Commanders comeback against the San Francisco 49ers, and of the Los Angeles Rams' flop vs. the Arizona Cardinals. This week, the Pittsburgh Steelers and New Orleans Saints will play the first-ever NFL game in Paris, Joe Burrow takes the Cincinnati Bengals to Baltimore to face the Ravens, and Kenneth Walker III looks to run wild against his former team in the Seattle Seahawks.
Here's a look at what I'm thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart. Top five picks ATS record: 15-15Overall ATS record: 44-48-1Straight-up record: 54-38-1 Sunday, 9:30 a.m.
ET (NFL Network, Stream: Fubo, try for free) I hit on the Texans upsetting the Jaguars in London last week, and I'm going to take the underdog here overseas once again. I think Gayle Benson's recent comments got to the locker room in a good way, and the Saints responded with a 34-27 win over the New York Giants where they scored all 34 points unanswered from the second quarter to the fourth quarter. McCarthy did lead an impressive comeback, but the Saints ended up victorious.
The Steelers are 1-2 away from Pittsburgh this season, and required a furious fourth-quarter run that included overtime to beat undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels last Sunday. The Saints are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last eight games away from home, and are 3-0 ATS all-time in international games. The pick: Saints +3.5Projected score: Steelers 23-20 Sunday, 1 p.m.
ET (CBS, Stream on Paramount+) Maybe the Indianapolis Colts get a "fired their GM" bump -- if that's a thing -- but I don't want to overlook that this Colts offense has really struggled and now has to face the best defense in the NFL. The Minnesota Vikings are allowing just 12.8 points per game! The re-signing of Daniel Jones doesn't look like a great decision right now.
He hasn't thrown for multiple touchdowns in any game this season, and has thrown one touchdown compared to two interceptions over the past two contests. Not having Alec Pierce certainly hurts, which is why the Colts are averaging under 200 passing yards per game, and that puts extra pressure on Jonathan Taylor. He's averaging a career-low 4.0 yards per rush, and has gone 13 straight games without 100 rushing yards.
Extract — continue reading at the source.
