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Three Films, and a Second Oscar? How Penélope Cruz Could Dominate Awards Season With ‘La Bola Negra,’ ‘The Invite’ and ‘Bunker’

Three Films, and a Second Oscar? How Penélope Cruz Could Dominate Awards Season With ‘La Bola Negra,’ ‘The Invite’ and ‘Bunker’

variety.com 05.09.2026 23:45 2 views
Penélope Cruz became an Oscar winner when 2008’s “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” made her the first Spanish actress to win an acting Oscar. Seventeen years later, she is not chasing a second statuette so much as choosing whic

Penélope Cruz became an Oscar winner when 2008’s “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” made her the first Spanish actress to win an acting Oscar. Seventeen years later, she is not chasing a second statuette so much as choosing which vehicle to ride to the ceremony — because this season she has three. The biggest of the three isn’t even her largest role.

Los Javis’ “La Bola Negra” — the Federico García Lorca-inspired epic that shared the best director prize at Cannes, drew a near-record ovation on the Croisette and sold to Netflix in a bidding war — is shaping up as the streamer’s marquee awards title of the year. Cruz surfaces in it as a bawdy cabaret singer, a role the size of a cameo that critics off the Croisette and now here at Telluride have already tagged a scene-stealer. In Olivia Wilde’s A24 dinner-party comedy “The Invite,” which opened over the summer, she has another scene-stealing part opposite Edward Norton, a second potential route into the supporting actress race.

And then there is “Bunker,” Florian Zeller’s follow-through on the promise of “The Father,” which bows in Venice competition Sept. 8. Zeller wrote it for Cruz and her real-life husband Javier Bardem — their eighth film together — and built it around a marriage of 17 years, roughly the length of their own. Cruz plays the wife whose disillusionment becomes the story’s emotional core, opposite Bardem as an architect drawn into building a survivalist bunker for a reclusive tech billionaire.

Sony Pictures Classics, which turned “The Father” into a six-nomination contender that won two — best actor for Anthony Hopkins and adapted screenplay for Zeller himself — is lining up a lead actress run after Venice and Toronto, and even betting Bardem can land in best actor beside her, making “Bunker” a two-front campaign before Cruz’s other films enter the frame. The genuinely unprecedented possibility is what happens if both supporting turns (and lead) catch fire — because this is the first season it even could. Earlier this year, the Academy rewrote one of its oldest acting rules.

Beginning with this year’s 99th Academy Awards, a performer can land two nominations in the same category, provided both performances finish among the top five in nominations voting. For decades, the lower vote-getter was simply erased. Cruz is the marquee test case — Variety war-gamed this exact scenario when the rule changed.

It helps that all three films are already mounting serious campaigns of their own, quite apart from Cruz — buzz she can borrow without having to manufacture it, and dip into when she feels like it, not because she has to. But it can also set a trap. The same rule that makes a double nom possible makes vote splitting potentially fatal for a campaign.

Extract — continue reading at the source.

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