Opinion: You can’t rely on the S&P 500 as much as you may think The index’s weakness may surprise a generation of investors raised on the cult of ‘stocks always go up’ Wall Street tries not to mention this too often, but there is about a 25% chance that your U.S. stock-market index fund, including an S&P 500 large-cap fund, will prove to be a poor investment or worse over the next 10 years. And there is even about a 1 in 7 chance, or 14%, that it will prove to be a poor investment over the next 20 years. Copyright ©2026 MarketWatch, Inc.
All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8 Lilly raises outlook for third time this year as Zepbound sales soar We’re in our 70s. Should we pay off our 2.5% mortgage — or put the money in a high-yield savings account? The Fed held off on a rate hike.
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Medicare used AI to pre-approve patient care, and it immediately led to a large drop in medical services Brett Arends is an award-winning financial writer with many years of experience in writing about markets, economics and personal finance. He has received an individual award from the Society of American Business Editors and Writers for his financial writing, and was part of the Boston Herald team that won two others. He has worked as an analyst at McKinsey Co., and is a Chartered Financial Consultant.
His latest book, "Storm Proof Your Money," was published by John Wiley Co. Intraday Data provided by FACTSET and subject to terms of use. Historical and current end-of-day data provided by FACTSET.
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