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Artificial intelligence for the data-driven diagnosis of ADHD: a systematic review and meta-analysis

nature.com 07.10.2026 02:00 7 views

Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is clinically heterogeneous, which complicates the development of reproducible data-driven diagnostic models. Following PRISMA guidelines, this systematic review included 54 eligible studies. The pooled sensitivity was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83–0.91) and the pooled specificity was 0.91 (95% CI: 0.88–0.93), but residual heterogeneity remained above 96% in meta-regression.

PROBAST classified 11 studies (20.4%) as high risk of bias, 11 (20.4%) as unclear risk, and 32 (59.3%) as low risk; the analysis domain was the main source of high-risk judgments. Publication bias was detected for sensitivity but not specificity. No statistically significant between-modality differences were observed for sensitivity or specificity.

The pooled values therefore describe a highly heterogeneous literature and should not be interpreted as evidence that one modality is superior or that current models are ready for clinical use. Standardized reporting, external validation, and prospective evaluation are needed before clinical translation. A sensitivity analysis excluding the 11 studies at high overall risk of bias produced similar pooled sensitivity (0.87, 95% CI: 0.82–0.91) and specificity (0.92, 95% CI: 0.88–0.94), while heterogeneity remained substantial (I² = 97.9% and 98.5%, respectively).

This study was supported by the Brain Science and Brain-like Intelligence Technology-National Science and Technology Major Project (2021ZD0200500), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (32200873), the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (2022M720487), and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (2022NTST13). State Key Laboratory of Cognitive Neuroscience and Learning, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China Leilei Ma, Yujie Cao, Jingyan Chen, Ningyu Liu, Jiali Wang & Yanpei Wang School of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK The authors declare no competing interests. Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material.

If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/. Ma, L., Cao, Y., Chen, J. et al.

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