Representative Ashley Hinson said she is confident in her chances at winning the election for Iowa's open Senate seat despite a recent poll that showed her eight points behind Josh Turek, her Democratic opponent. She made the comments on Tuesday in an interview with Fox News, one day after President Donald Trump unveiled a $15 billion steel mill project in Iowa on Monday. The mill will be the largest steel plant in American history and is going to be built by Minnesota mining and metals company Mesabi Metallics.
It could also give Hinson a boost just before the midterm elections on November 3. Last week, Turek was shown holding the eight-point lead over Hinson in a Marist Poll. When Hinson was asked during the Fox News interview on Tuesday if she thought she could close the gap, she said: "I don't buy that for a minute.
If there's one thing I do as a candidate, I run every race like I'm 10 points down. I think we are all familiar with last election cycle—the famous Selzer poll in Iowa. I think Iowans are a little wary of polls for sure and certainly pollsters and I think they are going to show up in droves because they know what's at stake." She went on to say: "I think we'll win on November 3rd." Newsweek reached out to Hinson's campaign by email for comment on Tuesday.
Several recent polls show that Turek has a fair shot at defeating Hinson in the midterm elections this year. The last time Democrats won an Iowa Senate election was 18 years ago, when incumbent Senator Tom Harkin beat his Republican opponent, Christopher Reed. In the elections since, current U.S.
Senator Joni Ernst, a Republican who is not running for reelection this year, and Republican Chuck Grassley have had control of Iowa's two Senate seats. While the Marist Poll gave Turek a generous lead over Hinson, several other polls are much closer. The Trafalgar Group, which leans conservative, conducted a poll of 1,089 likely voters in Iowa between September 16 and 18.
When asking voters who they would vote for if the election was held the following day, 44 percent said Hinson while 42.1 percent said Turek. The poll has a 2.9 percent margin of error. Hinson had a four-point lead over Turek in a co/efficient poll of 831 likely voters in Iowa between September 14 and 16.
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