President Donald Trump's escalating trade fight with Canada is squeezing the economy north of the border, threatening jobs and adding to families' financial strain as steep U.S. tariffs on roughly $20 billion in goods remain in place. U.S. tariffs have hammered the country's steel, aluminum, lumber and automobile producers that depend heavily on the American market. Steel exports have fallen by roughly half since the tariffs took effect, while lumber exports were about 20% below 2024 levels earlier this year, according to the Bank of Canada.
Production and jobs have also declined in some of the hardest-hit industries. Canadian families are feeling the squeeze, too. Consumer prices were 3% higher in August than a year earlier, with grocery prices up 2.8% and transportation costs jumping 7.5%, according to the government's own data.
A MUST-WIN MIDTERM STATE IS THE REAL LOSER OF TRUMP'S CANADA TRADE WAR Retaliatory tariffs on American products have also added to those costs. Prices of affected goods, which includes groceries, household products, furniture, electronics and appliances, rose roughly 6% more than comparable products that were not hit by the tariffs, according to the country's central bank. But while Canada is feeling the economic pain, the disputes driving Trump's trade fight are not new.
"The Trump administration is complaining about dairy access and, generally speaking, those complaints are completely valid," David Clement, North American affairs manager at the Consumer Choice Center, told Fox News Digital. "Canada has exorbitant tariffs on imports from the United States and really from everywhere around the world when it comes to chicken, turkey, eggs, cheese and milk," Clement said. THE OVERLOOKED WAY THE IRAN WAR IS MAKING GROCERIES, AMAZON PACKAGES AND NEW HOMES MORE EXPENSIVE Clement noted, however, that differences between American and European access to Canada's market reflect terms negotiated under separate trade agreements, including the USMCA struck during Trump's first term.
But dairy represents just a fraction of the broader U.S.-Canada trading relationship. Scott Lincicome, vice president of general economics at the Cato Institute and the Herbert A. Stiefel Center for Trade Policy Studies, said more than 99% of U.S.-Canada trade was duty-free before 2025, with negotiators historically willing to tolerate disputes over politically sensitive products like dairy to preserve the broader relationship.
"The Trump administration has so far refused to make the deal," he said. Lincicome said free trade in products including fertilizer, energy and lumber helps keep costs down for American farmers, homebuilders and consumers. With the midterm elections just weeks away and the cost of living in focus, the trade dispute is unfolding as higher energy prices add another layer of pressure on consumers.
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