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CNN data guru says Trump has lost a demographic key to his victory over Kamala Harris: ‘Adios, amigos!

CNN data guru says Trump has lost a demographic key to his victory over Kamala Harris: ‘Adios, amigos!

independent.co.uk 17.08.2026 20:44 10 baxış
Trump losing steam could cost Republicans races in Texas, Nevada and elsewhere

President Donald Trump is losing steam with Hispanic men after they helped propel him to the White House in 2024, according to CNN’s chief data analyst. The cable network’s Harry Enten presented stats showing that during 2024 election, Hispanic men preferred Trump to former Vice President Kamala Harris. That helped Trump flip Arizona back into his column after losing it in 2020 and helped him become the first Republican presidential candidate to win Nevada since George W.

But Enten said that now, 51 percent of Hispanic men disapprove of Trump’s performance as president. Democrats also hope that Trump’s decline with Hispanics can help them flip Texas’ Senate race, a congressional district in the heavily Puerto Rican Lehigh Valley and the governorship in Nevada. Democratic candidates like Texas Senate nominee James Talarico have advertised in Spanish during the World Cup while Democrats hope to reverse some of the trends in the Rio Grande Valley.

Enten said that Trump’s chief struggle with Hispanic men comes down to the economy. In 2024, Trump had an 11-point lead with Hispanic men against Harris. Many Hispanic male voters criticized the increased cost of living during the Biden administration, particularly on gas and grocery prices.

Last year, his “Liberation Day” announcement of reciprocal tariffs caused prices to spike, though the Supreme Court eventually struck them down. Then, Trump launched a war in Iran. That led to the Iranian regime closing off the Strait of Hormuz, through which one fifth of the world’s oil supply passes.

That caused gas prices to skyrocket to well over $4 a gallon. Enten said that the dissatisfaction is causing Republicans to take a hit on the economy, historically one of the party’s strong suits. In 2024, Republicans won Hispanic men by eight points.

But now, Democrats have a 20-point lead with Hispanic men. Some Republicans have warned the president not to continue to aggressively deport immigrants who might be in the country illegally but did not commit violent crimes. Others have hoped that Democrats electing socialist candidates in primaries might put off Cuban-American voters in places like Miami, where many residents fled Fidel Castro’s regime or are the children of people who fled.

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