I make jokes about Tropicana Field all the time here and in the daily premium newsletter from SportsLine, and it's deserved, as that place is way past its expiration date. But one thing we know for sure is there will be no weather postponement, delay or time change for Monday's Game 6 of the ALCS between the Guardians and Rays. We saw that in Cleveland, when Thursday's game was moved up to 1 p.m, and Saturday's was pushed back a day, eliminating the Sunday travel day.
The Rays are -149 favorites in the Guardians vs. Rays odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, and the Over/Under is set at 7 runs. Bet $5+ on ALCS Game 6 to get $200 in bonus bets and three free months of NBA League Pass at DraftKings Sportsbook: It's scheduled for an 8 ET start on TBS, with the National League champion Milwaukee Brewers waiting to host Game 1 of the World Series starting Friday.
At -149, Tampa Bay is getting 68% of money and 73% of tickets, but that was very early action. Over 6.5 is taking solid leans. Claim the best Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55, trade $25, and receive $55 in trading bonus credits here: The Rays entered Game 5 priced at -140 on the series line and Cleveland was at +115.
With that 3-1 win for a 3-2 series lead, Tampa Bay is now -400 and Cleveland is +310. Teams trailing a seven-game series 3-2 have come back to win the series 37 of 117 times (31.6%). Both of the last two teams to trail an ALCS 3-2 after five games have come back to win the series -- the 2025 Blue Jays and 2023 Rangers.
So that's good news for Cleveland. But road teams to win Game 5 of a seven-game LCS to take a 3-2 series lead have gone on to win the series seven of 10 times. The Rays are 2-5 all-time in potential clinching games of an ALCS, including 1-1 at home.
Because Friday's Game 4 was pushed to Saturday, that meant Game 5 was moved to Sunday – which was to be the final travel day in the series. So how the bullpens came out of Sunday obviously takes on much bigger significance now, and the Rays came out better because starting pitcher Drew Rasmussen went seven. Both teams might be down to rubble in terms of arms for a possible Game 7 for Tuesday, but we'll worry about that if it happens.
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