Two weeks before the midterm elections and 21 months after he entered the White House for the second time, President Donald Trump is underwater in 41 states and every major battleground, according to new polling. The figures come from Civiqs’ rolling tracker of registered voters, based on 137,330 responses collected between January 20, 2025, and October 19, 2026. A Newsweek analysis compares the latest state ratings with those recorded when Trump began his second term, with net approval calculated as approval minus disapproval.
Nationally, 32 percent approve of Trump’s job performance and 61 percent disapprove, giving him a net approval rating of minus 29. Presidential approval is not a forecast of individual races, but it helps define the national environment in which candidates compete. With control of Congress at stake on November 3, Trump’s standing could influence turnout, campaign messaging and Republican candidates’ ability to distance themselves from an unpopular administration.
Use the map below to explore Trump’s net approval rating in each state two weeks before the midterms. Trump’s remaining positive ratings are concentrated in Republican territory. Wyoming is his strongest state at +14, followed by North Dakota at +11 and West Virginia at +8.
Arkansas is at +7, while Idaho is at +4 and Alabama at +3. Oklahoma and Utah are each at +1. Those are the only nine states where approval exceeds disapproval.
Even among Trump’s strongest states, his position is considerably weaker than in January 2025. His net approval has fallen 33 points from +47 in Wyoming, 23 points from +34 in North Dakota and 27 points from +35 in West Virginia. The demographic breakdown helps explain the state-level map.
Among voters aged 18 to 34, 20 percent approve of Trump while 72 percent disapprove, producing a 52-point gap. Among those aged 35 to 49, the split is 25 percent approval to 66 percent disapproval. Older voters are less negative, although Trump remains underwater.
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