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NFL Week 1 Chiefs vs. Broncos picks, best bets: Why Broncos cover as Patrick Mahomes returns from injury

NFL Week 1 Chiefs vs. Broncos picks, best bets: Why Broncos cover as Patrick Mahomes returns from injury

cbssports.com 14.09.2026 16:17 2 views
Patrick Mahomes makes his return from an ACL tear behind an undrafted rookie left tackle, setting up a prime spot to back the underdog Broncos on Monday Night Football

Hope you're subscribed to SportsLine's YouTube page where we (and by we I mean me) gave out Cardinals plus the points, Cardinals money line as a best bet, as well as a two-touchdown round-robin with Ashton Jeanty and Jahmyr Gibbs. Unfortunately, the third leg was Javonte Williams, and the Cowboys decided to morph into the "season has actually started" rendition of America's Team after a quiet offseason of hype and lost their opener to the Giants. Bet on the NFL at DraftKings, where new users get $200 in bonus bets after they spend $5+: Honestly, two-touchdown bets would have printed in Week 1, as we got almost 20 (!!!) different players who scored multiple touchdowns, as well as multiple three-touchdown scorers.

Let's not assume that happens next week (in other words, be careful with Week 2 because the NFL makes sure Week 1 is a scoring fest when it handles scheduling). And let's definitely not assume it happens tonight, with the Chiefs and Broncos perhaps battling in a lower-scoring game. But we've still got plenty of angles to attack this game, so let's find some locks.

Get a $25 bonus after $25 in trades by claiming the latest Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS here: Obviously the biggest question here is about Patrick Mahomes' health. The former MVP, multiple-time Super Bowl winner and single-time playoff-misser tore his ACL late in the season last year and was up in the air to play Week 1 for much of the offseason. But anyone who's followed Mahomes closely knows that it was never in doubt and he was always going to be on the field for this game.

The question is, how effective will he be, and is it a good idea for him to make his return against this vaunted Denver defense. That the Chiefs are favored tells you how Vegas feels -- he'll be just fine. Wager on the NFL with the latest FanDuel promo code and get up to $350 in bonus bets: I'm not so sure, and as such I'll be taking the Broncos with the points in this prime-time AFC West battle.

Denver probably has offensive issues of its own to worry about, but they're fairly healthy and not trotting out a quarterback coming back from a serious injury for the first time behind a questionable and youthful offensive line. Josh Simmons, the left tackle the Chiefs took in the round (32nd overall) in last year's draft, isn't available Monday night for the season opener. That means Khalil Benson, an undrafted free agent rookie, will make his start at left tackle and be charged with protecting Mahomes' blind side against one of the five or 10 best defenses in the league.

That noise you hear is Nick Bonitto drooling. Now, it's worth noting Benson has a lot of experience in college, having played several years at Indiana, including all of last year at right tackle as the Hoosiers won a national title. BSSPORTS to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets: I also worry about what the Chiefs' weapons will look like -- I don't think anyone knows for sure whether this is the year for Xavier Worthy to actually take a step or whether Travis Kelce still has a step remaining.

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