Oscar Predictions: Supporting Actress — Is This the Year of Penélope Cruz?

Home Film Awards Aug 13, 2026 6:00pm PT Oscar Predictions: Supporting Actress — Is This the Year of Penélope Cruz? By Clayton Davis A24 Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender.

As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change in response to buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday. blogherads.adq.push(function () { blogherads .defineSlot( 'medrec', 'gpt-variety-article-mid-article-uid0' ) .setTargeting( 'pos', ["mid-article1","mid-articleX","mid","mid-article"] ) .setTargeting( 'viewable', 'yes' ) .setSubAdUnitPath("ros\/mid-article") .addSize([[300,250],[2,2],[300,251],[2,4],[4,2],[320,480],[620,366]]) .setClsOptimization("minsize") ; }); Related Stories Disney's ABC Asks FCC to Reject Petitions to Deny TV License Renewals, Says Agency Is Taking 'Punitive' Action Against Broadcasters Trump Dislikes Unscripted Producer Rachel Tung Renews ABC & Hulu Development Deal (EXCLUSIVE) Explore Awards Circuit Predictions PagesOscars | Emmys | Grammys | Tonys Penelope Cruz in “La Bola Negra” Cannes Best Director Predictions Commentary (Updated: Aug. 13, 2026): More to come. Popular on Variety if ( !window.pmc.harmony?.isEventAdScheduledTime() ) } }, playerId: 'fdaee7b3-292f-4a85-89bb-29a56b567de3', playlistId: '019eb8f5-8351-7af5-8dd4-29ad0d5ed821', }).render("connatix_contextual_player_div"); }); } else The list of predictions in all categories can be found here.

The Governors Awards, which will hand out honorary Oscars to Glenn Close and Ridley Scott, will take place Sunday, Nov. 15. Preliminary voting for the Oscars shortlist in 12 categories runs Dec. 7-11, with the shortlist announcement to follow Tuesday, Dec. 15. Following the close of the eligibility period on Dec. 31, 2026, nominations voting will run Jan. 11-15, 2027.

The official Oscar nominations will be announced on Thursday, Jan. 21, 2027. The 99th Oscars will take place on Sunday, March 14, 2027, and will be hosted by Conan O’Brien. The ceremony airs live at 7 p.m.

ET on ABC and in more than 200 territories worldwide from the Dolby Theatre at Ovation Hollywood. See all Academy Awards predictions Variety Awards Circuit: Oscars (function(){function e(){window.addEventListener(`message`,function(e){if(e.data[`datawrapper-height`]!==void 0)}})}e()})(); JavaScript is required to load the comments. Loading comments... document.getElementById('comments-loading').style.display = 'block';