Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks, advice, strategy: NFL expert reveals best knockout pick, teams to avoid

The Patriots ended last season in the Super Bowl, but they began the season with a home loss to the lowly Raiders. Many had New England in their Week 1 NFL survivor pools, but that result should serve as a warning that there are no guarantees when it comes to NFL knockout picks. With that in mind, which teams should be on your radar with Week 1 NFL survivor picks, and which favorites should be on upset alert?

Visit our DraftKings promo code review to see their latest offers and get started. Claim the latest DraftKings new user promo and bet on NFL here: Just three teams are favored by more than 4.5 points in their 2026 season openers in the Lions (-7) vs. Saints, Jaguars (-7.5) vs.

Browns and Chargers (-10.5) vs. But you need to play the long game when it comes to your NFL survivor strategy as a team with a good Week 1 matchup may have a great matchup later in the season, making them one to bypass in their opener. Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, you need to see which team proven expert R.J.

White has been SportsLine's No. 1 NFL against-the-spread expert over the last nine years, going 803-705-41 against the spread to put him up more than 27 units on those picks at SportsLine since 2017. He has also delivered a 55% hit rate on his Vegas contest picks over the last 11 seasons and has two finishes in the money, including finishing 18th out of 2,748 entries back in 2017. He knows the NFL at a level that few do, making him the perfect expert to give NFL survivor pool strategy tips.

Now, White has turned his attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in his Week 1 survivor pool pick. You can only see who White is backing this week at SportsLine. White has studied his 2026 NFL Week 1 survivor options, and, after evaluating not only this week but the rest of the season, he suggests avoiding the Chargers versus the Cardinals.

That's despite L.A. being a 10.5-point favorite, which is 3 points clear of any other team. Not only does Los Angeles have several appetizing matchups down the road, including in Week 2 against the Raiders, but the Chargers lost to Arizona the last time they played (2024) despite being favored. There's also the fact that Los Angeles is breaking in what is, essentially, an entire new offensive line compared to last season.